Informing Education Policy in Northern Ireland: The Lasting Effects of the First Deliberative Opinion Poll in a Divided Society
Submitting Institution
Newcastle UniversityUnit of Assessment
Politics and International StudiesSummary Impact Type
SocietalResearch Subject Area(s)
Studies In Human Society: Political Science, Sociology
Summary of the impact
This innovative research has had an enduring influence on shared
education policy debates in Northern Ireland. It directly affected the
understanding and attitudes of the most important education policy actors,
including the Department for Education Northern Ireland and the Good
Relations Forum. It has been significant in two ways. First, it has been
widely acknowledged as providing especially robust and reliable evidence
of public support for greater sharing in education (e.g. through shared
campuses for Protestant and Catholic schools). Secondly, it has been
recognised as a model of best practice for consulting the two main
communities, unionist and nationalist, about reforms to education
provision.
Underpinning research
This case study is based on research conducted by O'Flynn between 2004
(when he was appointed at Newcastle University) and 2012. In his 2006
monograph, Deliberative Democracy and Divided Societies [1],
O'Flynn makes the case for introducing institutions that promote
deliberative democracy in religiously and ethnically divided societies. He
argues that talking about important political issues under controlled
conditions that establish fair rules for discussion can promote mutual
trust, reconciliation and the recognition of shared goals. More
specifically, he was the first to explicitly advocate the use of
"deliberative opinion polls" in divided societies [1, pp.86-88].
Conventional opinion polls are often criticised for eliciting uninformed
and unreflective responses, which may help to reinforce existing social
and political divisions. In contrast, the participants in a deliberative
poll are provided with the opportunity to learn about a given policy issue
through briefing materials, facilitated small group discussions and
plenary sessions with expert stakeholders, before they are polled.
Accordingly, deliberative polls seek to reveal what the public would think
if its members had the same opportunities for informed and reflective
discussion as the representative sample who participate in the poll.
In 2006-7, O'Flynn led a research team that conducted the first
deliberative poll in a divided society to test empirically the usefulness
of the methodology. The poll was on the reform of the education system in
general and shared education in particular (i.e. Catholic and Protestant
children being taught together or Catholic and Protestant schools sharing
facilities or teachers to provide an enhanced curriculum). It was
conducted in Omagh, Northern Ireland. Omagh was chosen because it is in
important respects a microcosm of Northern Ireland: demographically, it is
highly representative, and educationally, it contains all of the main
school-types [2, p.4]. O'Flynn's collaborators included the creators of
the deliberative poll methodology (Fishkin, Stanford and Luskin, Texas)
and experts on education policy in Northern Ireland (Gallagher and
Russell, Queen's Belfast). The research was funded by Atlantic
Philanthropies, a US-based charitable foundation which aims to improve the
lives of vulnerable and disadvantaged people.
The project began with 565 parents of school age children completing an
education policy questionnaire. They were then invited to participate in a
day devoted to debating possible changes to the education system involving
greater provision for sharing. In consultation with key stakeholders,
including the Department for Education Northern Ireland (DENI), the
project team developed balanced briefing materials, which were distributed
in advance to the 250 parents who indicated they were willing to
participate. On the day, 127 parents participated in small group
discussions and plenary sessions with an expert panel before completing
the same questionnaire a second time. The results of the second
(deliberative) poll were statistically compared with the results of the
first (conventional) poll.
The research demonstrated that deliberative polls could be successfully
conducted in divided societies, with participants from different religious
groups being able to have respectful and constructive discussions, which
promoted mutual understanding. The deliberation day also increased
participants' factual knowledge about Northern Ireland's education system
[2, p.32]. The deliberative poll showed: (1) majority support for various
forms of sharing in education; (2) support for some forms of sharing (e.g.
partnering with neighbouring schools of another religious denomination)
was significantly higher after deliberation [2, p.22]; (3) significantly
more participants from both communities perceived members of the other
community to be `open to reason' and `trustworthy' after deliberation [2,
pp.34-7].
The initial results of the project were first published in 2007 [2] with
further analyses conducted as part of an EU-funded project on shared
education in 2008 [3] and a fuller consideration of the effects of
deliberation in a 2013 Political Studies article [4]. The results
of the project were also disseminated to non-academic audiences through a
BBC Northern Ireland Hearts and Minds documentary (2007), national
and international media coverage (2007-9) and presentations to DENI,
Belfast City Council and other organisations (2007).
References to the research
[2] Fishkin J., Gallagher, T., Luskin R., McGrady, J., O'Flynn I. and
Russell D. (2007) A Deliberative Poll on Education: What Provision do
Informed Parents in Northern Ireland Want? Newcastle upon Tyne:
Newcastle University. Copy available on request or at:
http://cdd.stanford.edu/polls/nireland/2007/omagh-report.pdf.
Supporting Grant:
Atlantic Philanthropies (BH063730, £147,420, 2006-7) funded the
Deliberative Poll — "A Deliberative Poll on Education in Northern
Ireland". O'Flynn was Principal Investigator with 100% funding to
Newcastle University. Atlantic Philanthropies is a US-based charitable
foundation which aims to improve the lives of vulnerable and disadvantaged
people and funds research that might contribute to those aims.
Details of the impact
The findings and deliberative poll methodology had a direct and enduring
effect on the understanding and attitudes of key stakeholders in education
policy in Northern Ireland. It has provided significant benefits in two
areas. First, its findings have consistently been used by policy actors to
demonstrate informed public support for more sharing in education. Second,
it has been widely recognised as the leading example of best practice in
public consultation on education policy in Northern Ireland.
Demonstrating Support for Shared Education
The key research findings have made a distinct contribution to how
education policy actors understand public attitudes to sharing in
education and have been used to support arguments for shared education
policies because they are widely accepted as providing robust and reliable
evidence of informed parental support. Most recently, the Ministerial
Advisory Group on Advancing Shared Education (MAG), set up by the
Education Minister to advise on the future of shared education in Northern
Ireland, cited the results of the poll in its March 2013 report, Advancing
Shared Education [IMP1, pp.84 and 92], as evidence that a majority
of parents support various forms of sharing in education. It is the only
academic source used in the report to provide evidence about parents'
views. The research was also quoted by two statutory bodies, the Northern
Ireland Community Relations Council (NICRC) [IMP2, pp. 6, 11] and the
Equality Commission for Northern Ireland (ECNI) [IMP3, p. 9], in their
submissions to the MAG's consultation process. The MAG's reference to the
poll's results — six years after it took place — and the use of the
research by other stakeholders in the intervening period provides strong
evidence of its enduring impact.
The deliberative poll was cited in the 2010 "Challenge Paper", Ensuring
the Good Relations Work in Our Schools Counts [IMP4], published by
the Good Relations Forum, a commission established under the auspices of
NICRC and ECNI. The paper identifies shared education as a significant
strategic area for Government reform arguing that it is a crucial vehicle
for social integration. It uses the results of the poll to support the
claim that "people want more sharing with 71% [in the Omagh poll]
specifically stating that they would support integrated education" [IMP4,
p.29]. The research has been used by other education stakeholders,
nationally and locally. For example, the Council for Catholic Maintained
Schools (CCMS) developed its own response to the education policy
implications of the research and discussed it at its executive committee
meeting in November 2008 [IMP5] while Drumragh Integrated College (an
integrated school in Omagh) cited the deliberative poll as evidence of a
"groundswell of support for integrated education in Omagh" in its 2012
development proposal [IMP6, p.3].
This reflects a broader awareness of the research findings among key
education policy actors. The Director of the Equality and All-Ireland
Directorate in DENI has said that the research is "something which I don't
think anybody working in this area would be unaware of or
certainly shouldn't be unaware of" [IMP7]. In Omagh, the poll was
an important catalyst for the development of a shared site, at the old
Lisanelly army barracks, for six post-primary schools of different
denominations, which received DENI support in 2008 and planning permission
in 2013. The Deputy Chief Executive Officer of the Council for Catholic
Maintained Schools (CCMS) has said that the deliberative poll "created a
context in which Lisanelly could move forward, I'm quite sure about that"
[IMP8]. Similarly, the Project Director for the Lisanelly development said
"it brought about a change in peoples' attitude and also it was useful in
that it was quite clear that once people understood what it was about,
they were actually very positive about the idea of shared education"
[IMP9].
Influencing the Approach to Public Consultation on Education Policy
The methodological example set by the Omagh deliberative poll continues
to influence the attitudes of key education stakeholders to effective
consultation processes. The Good Relations Forum paper [IMP4, pp.15 and
40] recommends deliberative polling as an appropriate consultation method.
The Senior Development Officer at the Northern Ireland Council for
Integrated Education (NICIE) described the deliberative poll as the "Rolls
Royce" of consultation methods: "that was the way to do it. If you had the
money that would be the way to do it [now]" [IMP10]. The Chief Executive
Officer of CCMS recalled "... it was a very valuable process. It proved
the value, if nothing else, of giving people information and asking them
to challenge preconceived notions" and his Deputy said "it did influence
the type of methodology that we used in respect of the general approach to
consultations of creating an informed context against which people,
parents, stakeholders would be asked to respond" [IMP8].
The research has also influenced attitudes to consultation processes
within the Department of Education. A DENI senior civil servant said the
draft DENI legislation on area based education planning, which emphasises
the "involvement of relevant interests" in the planning process, was
influenced by the experience of being involved in the Omagh deliberative
poll: "what it certainly I think has done is influenced our thinking
about, if not our practice, about how we consult and engage on these sorts
of complex issues and I think the most powerful thing out of the poll is
the recognition that actually the tried and tested unthinking methods of
consultation on issues as complex as education are of limited use. The
poll I think proves that. The differences between T1 and T2 measurements
show that there's a huge value, in fact a necessity, in investing the time
and effort and providing people with information about the issues that
you're expecting them to give a view on" [IMP7].
Sources to corroborate the impact
[IMP1] Ministerial Advisory Group on Advancing Shared Education (2013) Advancing
Shared Education. Belfast: DENI. Copy available on request or at:
http://www.qub.ac.uk/schools/SchoolofEducation/MinisterialAdvisoryGroup/Filestore/Filetoupload,382123,en.pdf.
[IMP2] Northern Ireland Community Relations Council (2012) Submission
to Ministerial Advisory Group on Advancing Shared Education. Copy
available on request.
[IMP3] Equality Commission for Northern Ireland (2013) Submission to
Ministerial Advisory Group on Advancing Shared Education. Copy
available on request.
[IMP4] Good Relations Forum (2010) Ensuring the Good Relations Work
in our School Counts. Belfast: NICRC/NIEC. ISBN: 978-1-906414-24-5.
Copy available on request or at:
http://www.community-relations.org.uk/fs/doc/crc-good-relations-forum-booklet-final-21-april-2010-pdf.pdf.
[IMP5] Council for Catholic Maintained Schools (2008) A Summary of
Key Points from: Education and a Shared Future — Options for Sharing and
Collaboration in Northern Ireland Schools. Copy available on request
or at: http://www.onlineccms.com/current-issues/30/.
[IMP6] Drumragh Integrated College (2012) Drumragh Integrated College
— Development Proposal No. 226, 2012. Copy available on request.
[IMP7] Interview with Director of Equality and All-Ireland Directorate,
Department of Education Northern Ireland (17 September 2012). Transcript
and audio recording available on request. (Interviewee independent from
project team)
[IMP8] Interview with Chief Executive Officer and Deputy Chief Executive
Officer, Council for Catholic Maintained Schools (18 September
2012). Transcript and audio recording available on request. (Interviewee
independent from project team)
[IMP9] Interview with Project Director, Lisanelly Shared Campus
Development (21 September 2012). Transcript and audio recording available
on request. (Interviewee independent from project team)
[IMP10] Interview with Senior Development Officer, Northern Ireland
Council for Integrated Education (19 September 2012). Transcript and audio
recording available on request. (Interviewee independent from project
team)