Challenging Behavioral Assumptions Underpinning Public Policy Design
Submitting Institution
University of NottinghamUnit of Assessment
Economics and EconometricsSummary Impact Type
PoliticalResearch Subject Area(s)
Medical and Health Sciences: Public Health and Health Services
Economics: Applied Economics
Summary of the impact
The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics (CeDEx)
at Nottingham is a world leader in the development and application of
experimental and behavioural economics. CeDEx's research is
increasingly influential in affecting the way in which experimental
methodology is utilised by public sector agencies (e.g. Department for
Environment, Food & Rural Affairs, DEFRA) and in fashioning the
public and policy makers' understanding of how human motivations and
decision processes affect individual and group behaviour and, in
particular, their responses to different policy tools (e.g. incentives,
regulation, information, `nudges' etc). The research of the CeDEx
group has had broad and diffuse impacts on public decision-making and
public debate; through public events, the provision of advice to
government departments and regulators, the delivery of training workshops,
commissioned research and an active strategy of engagement in public
debate.
Underpinning research
• Context
The work of the CeDEx group has focussed on three topics in
behavioural science: (i) the development, evaluation and application of
experimental methods; (ii) refining understanding of the determinants of
individual behaviour, particularly in relation to risk and time; (iii)
investigating the determinants of social behaviour, particularly the role
of incentives in supporting human cooperation. Beyond contributions to the
basic science, a major theme in the CeDEx group's research has
been to (iv) develop understanding of the relevance of behavioural
economics for the formulation of public policy. In this case study we
illustrate how specific elements of our research in relation to themes
(i)-(iii) have fed into (iv) and thereby generated the various forms of
impact identified in Section 4 of this document.
• Research insights and findings
In relation to topic (i), members of the CeDEx group have been
leading figures in the development, testing and evaluation of experimental
methods in economics. Robin Cubitt and Chris Starmer along
with collaborators elsewhere, as part of a project funded by the
Leverhulme Trust, undertook a major methodological assessment of the scope
and reliability of experimental research in economics (Sept 2002 - August
2005, Leverhulme Trust, Award Number F/00 204/K). That assessment [1] is
the first systematic appraisal of experimental economics' research
methods. Our knowledge of how and where experiments can be successfully
used, developed through this research, has supported us in our roles of
advising government departments and regulators in the use of experimental
method.
In relation to topic (ii) we have made significant contributions to
understanding individual behaviour, particularly aspects of risk and time
preferences. For example, CeDEx researchers have developed and
tested new models of risky choice which provide a unifying account of a
range of well-documented `anomalies' relative to standard theory. In
particular, CeDEx researchers have been influential in modelling
and measuring the impact of loss aversion [2]. While much of the
supporting evidence in this field has flowed from experimental evidence, a
related strand of our research has examined how far aspects of
non-standard preferences, which have been mainly identified and measured
in laboratory research, translate outside the lab to field behaviour.
In that context, CeDEx research [3] has shown how a target field
behaviour (in this case, paying a bill by a target date) can be promoted
more effectively through the use of incentives framed as `penalties' (for
late payment) versus `discounts' (for early payments). This and other work
under topic (ii) has flowed directly into the impacts identified.
CeDEx researchers have made world-leading contributions to the
study of `social preferences', human cooperation and organisational
behaviour. For example, the group is known internationally for path
breaking work on voluntary cooperation in the presence of free rider
incentives and, in particular, the crucial role played by `punishment'
[4,5]; the group is also known for developing important insights into the
organisational impacts of incentives, leadership, social norms and social
comparisons [6,7]. These aspects of our research have been important
elements in the impacts cited in Section 4.
• Key researchers
Chris Starmer (Professor at the University of Nottingham -UOM-
since 2000); Simon Gächter (Professor at UOM since 2005); Robin
Cubitt (Professor at UOM since 2004); Martin Sefton
(appointed at UOM in 2000 and promoted to Professor in 2005); Elke
Renner (appointed to UOM in 2003 and promoted to Associate Professor
in 2010); Daniele Nosenzo (appointed at UOM as research fellow in
2010 and lecturer in 2012).
References to the research
[1] Experimental Economics: Rethinking the Rules, N. Bardsley, R. Cubitt,
G. Loomes, P. Moffatt, C. Starmer and R. Sugden, Princeton
University Press, 2010. [Available on Request].
[2] "Third-Generation Prospect Theory", U. Schmidt, C. Starmer
and R. Sugden, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 36, 203-23, 2008.
[doi: 10.1007/s11166-008-9040-2]
[3] "Are Experimental Economists Prone to Framing Effects? A Natural
Field Experiment", S. Gächter, H. Orzen, E. Renner and C.
Starmer, Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organization,
70, 443-46, 2009. [doi: 10.1016/j.jebo.2007.11.003]
[4] "Social Preferences, Beliefs, and the Dynamics of Free Riding in
Public Good Experiments", U. Fischbacher and S. Gächter, American
Economic Review, 100(1), 541-56, 2010. [doi: 10.1257/aer.100.1.541]
[5] "The Long-Run Benefits of Punishment" S. Gächter, E. Renner,
and M. Sefton, Science, 322(5907), 1510, 2008. [doi:
10.1126/science.1164744]
[6] "Peer Effects in Pro-Social Behavior: Social Norms or Social
Preferences?", S. Gächter, D. Nosenzo and M. Sefton),
Journal of the European Economic Association, 11(3): 548-73, 2013.
[doi: 10.1111/jeea.12015]
[7] "After You — Endogenous Sequencing in Voluntary Contribution Games",
J. Potters, M. Sefton and L. Vesterlund. Journal of Public
Economics, 89, 1399-1419, 2005. [doi: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2004.02.008]
This research has and continues to be funded by major grants recently
including:
Gaechter (PI), "Putting Strong Reciprocity into Context", European
Research Council Advanced Investigator Grant, May 2012 - April 2017,
£1.5m.
Starmer (PI), "Network for Integrated Behavioural Science", ESRC
Centres and Large Grants Competition, Jan 2013 - Dec 2016, £3.2 million
(ESRC Award no. ES/K002201/1)
Details of the impact
The last decade has seen a rapid expansion of research in behavioural
economics and related fields. This has been accompanied by considerable
interest in those findings from potential research users. While a small
subset of ideas emerging from the programme of behavioural economics has
featured prominently in public debate (e.g. the use of `nudges' as policy
tools) there has been considerable uncertainty about how the wider body of
research findings can be translated to field application, and how the
findings and methods of behavioural economics can reliably inform
policy. CeDEx have been actively contributing to developing public
understanding of these issues through various channels of engagement with
non-academic stakeholders. In what follows we identify five primary forms
of dissemination, engagement and associated impacts.
• Public events
Members of CeDEx have regularly participated in events designed
to bring the basic science through to potential users in private and
public sector organisations. For example, Starmer gave lectures on
`Key Insights from Behavioural Economics" at various events including the
2009 meeting of the Financial Services Research Forum and the
January 2011 OFWAT `Breakfast Briefing'. In that talk, Starmer
drew out the importance of message framing for promoting behaviour change
and in particular CeDEx research results showing the differential
impact of framing incentives as penalties (versus positive inducements).
In March 2011, OFWAT (water services regulatory authority in the
UK) published a report on sustainable water use [A] which draws directly
on ideas discussed at the January meeting: As evidence, the Head of
Ofwat's Supply and Demand Balance, wrote to Starmer noting
how his input had fed into their report and:
"helped to stimulate a productive debate about the role of behavioural
economics in encouraging consumers to use water wisely".
• Advisory roles
Members of CeDEx also regularly provide advice to government
departments and regulators in the process of commissioning behavioural
research. For example, drawing on the findings of his research into
experimental methodology reported in [1], Starmer provided advice
to OFCOM (UK's regulator and competition authority for the
communications industries) in the run up to their tendering process
commissioning experimental research to investigate the behavioural
influence (on phone users) of transparency of call pricing [B]. Sefton
has assisted HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) as an independent
reviewer of commissioned research [C].
• Training
To promote knowledge transfer around potential applications and sound
design principles, CeDEx has developed and delivered a training
workshop specifically designed to help government departments explore and
understand how experimental methods can be used to address issues of
interest to them. Starmer (in collaboration with Professor Loomes
— U. Warwick) delivered this as a two day event hosted by Health and
Safety Executive (HSE) (Liverpool) in 2011 with participants from
various government departments including the HSE and HMRC.
This workshop drew directly on insights gained from their research in
experimental methodology (Loomes collaborated in [1]); and on their
expertise in applications related to individual decision making (theme
(ii) above). Following this workshop, experimental approaches have been
trialled extensively across various government departments including those
participating in the workshop. For example, HMRC has successfully
used experimental trials to assess the effect of `social' message framing
in promoting tax recovery (this was reported by members of the Cabinet
Office Behavioural Insight Team at a workshop (Oct. 2012) on use of
experimental methods in government: www.bristol.ac.uk/cmpo/events/2012/policy/;
Starmer was a participant). For further evidence, see [E] below.
• Direct commissioned research
Members of the CeDEx team have provided academic leads on
projects for government departments. For example, Starmer provided
scientific lead to a DEFRA project concerned with how aspects of
risk and time preference (loss aversion and discounting) influence
decisions related to the purchase and use of energy saving products.
Starmer co-authored a report on this subject for DEFRA (see [D]
below]) and has spoken at workshops organised by DEFRA to
disseminate the research. One motivation for the DEFRA project was
to assess the role of non-standard aspects of preferences (`extreme'
discounting and loss aversion) and in particular whether these factors
explained low uptake of a new generation of high-end efficiency products
(e.g. A+ and A++ refrigerators). Based on preference models ([2] above)
the CeDEx team were able to demonstrate that these factors
probably had low impact in the (then current) market place.
The work highlighted other likely important causal mechanisms including
social peer effects highlighted by our research. These factors had not
been considered as primary issues by DEFRA in commissioning the
research, but these issues were brought to the fore by the work and
feature prominently in the published DEFRA report [D]. In addition
the report contained recommendations on a set of potential interventions
(informed by consideration of our research on the framing of incentives
and the impact of loss aversion (as discussed in Section 2 above)
including: changing product labelling (to promote energy efficient
choices); presentation of cost information (to highlight potential energy
savings). The work and recommendations are summarised in the DEFRA
report "Behavioural Economics and Energy Using Products" and it is
cited by various other organisations (see for example OFWAT [A]).
A more recent report by DEFRA [I] highlights the importance of
insights from behavioural economics for a wider range of policy issues,
and specifically refers to the earlier work by CeDEx (reported in
D).
• Contribution to public debate
CeDEx researchers have stimulated and contributed actively to
public debate via non-technical summaries of their work in high profile
general science outlets (e.g. Science and Nature,
see [F] below) and publications aimed at the business community (see [G]
below for illustrations). Their work has also featured prominently in
national and international news media (see [H] below for illustrations).
Sources to corroborate the impact
[A] "Push, pull, nudge, How can we help customers save water, energy and
money?". OFWAT, March 2011
www.ofwat.gov.uk/publications/focusreports/prs_inf_pushpullnudge.pdf.
For comment, Head of Supply/Demand Balance, Ofwat.
[B] Contact: Senior Economist, Ofcom
[C] See Appendix D of HMRC Research Report 198 "Experimental
Evidence on Taxpayer Compliance: Evidence from Students and Taxpayers".
[D] "Behavioural Economics and Energy Using Products" C. Starmer with D.
Read, E. Poen & GHK Consulting for the Dept. for Environment,
Food and Rural Affairs, March 2010.
[E] The HSE convenor of the 2011 Experimental Methods workshop can be
contacted for comment: Economic Analysis Unit, Health & Safety
Executive,
[F] Example publications in high impact general science publications
include:
- "The Long-Run Benefits of Punishment" S. Gächter, E. Renner,
and M. Sefton Science 2008. 322(5907), 1510.
- "Carrot or Stick?" S. Gächter, Nature, 2012, 483,
39-40.
- "Antisocial Punishment Across Societies" Science 319, 7 March
2008, 1362-1367 (S. Gächter with B. Herrmann and C. Thöni).
[G] See for example: see CeDEx contributed articles to FT's
Investment Advisor:
[H] As examples of high profile media engagement by members of CeDEx
see:
[I] `Behavioural Economics in Defra: Applying Theory to Policy', DEFRA
Report, (July, 2013)