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Research undertaken by Professor Atkin has identified a feasible, acceptable and cost-effective method of reducing colorectal cancer incidence and mortality rates, which involves a once-only flexible sigmoidoscopy screening for all men and women at around age 60. The supporting research involved publishing the evidence, developing a fail-safe, efficient, patient-friendly delivery system, developing a surveillance strategy following adenoma-removal, and testing in multicentre randomised trials. After 11 years, incidence and mortality rates were reduced profoundly in the trials, with no observed attenuation of effect. The entire screening strategy was rolled out in a national programme from 2013, with complete population coverage expected by 2016.
The Nottingham Bowel Cancer Screening trial showed that biennial Faecal Occult Blood testing reduced bowel cancer mortality by 16%. As a consequence of this trial, the Department of Health launched two screening pilots and introduced a National Bowel Cancer Screening Programme (NBCSP), achieving national coverage in 2010. Since 2008, this has sent out almost 18 million invitations and detected 16,000 bowel cancers, of which 21.6% were early cancers with a 95% chance of cure. It is estimated that the NBCSP saves around 3,500 lives each year in the UK. International screening programmes modelled on the UK system will save many more.
The UK Faecal Occult Blood Test Screening Programme, based on Dundee-led research (Steele), offers bowel cancer screening through mailed test kits followed up with colonoscopy when faecal blood is detected. It is estimated to prevent about 2,000 UK deaths annually. Steele's Screening Research Unit also trialled immunological faecal occult blood testing, which was subsequently incorporated into the Scottish screening algorithm. In addition to demonstrating a 27% reduction in bowel cancer deaths through participation in Faecal Occult Blood screening, the Unit has researched the incidence of interval cancers and the impact of repeated invitations, development of new tests, and strategies for increasing participation. All of these drive the National Screening Programme, and will further reduce mortality.
Essex contributed to the independent evaluation of the UK NHS Bowel Cancer Screening Pilot programme by conducting the psychosocial aspects of this research. The evaluation recommended full roll-out, and was used to inform the programme's subsequent development and implementation. Nationwide screening for 60-69 year olds, using the Faecal Occult Blood test, began in 2006 and in 2010 the programme was extended to include adults up to their 75th birthday. Since July 2006 over 17 million screening episodes have been completed and 15,000 cancers detected. It is estimated that the programme is on track to cut deaths by 16%.
Research undertaken at the University of Sheffield in 2005 to evaluate the cost-effectiveness and resource implications of potential screening programmes for colorectal cancer informed the decision to launch a national colorectal cancer screening programme in England. Upon their 60th/61st birthday, all individuals in England are now invited to participate in biennial bowel cancer screening using faecal occult blood testing (FOBT) until the age of 74. The programme identifies individuals with less advanced colorectal cancer and there is emerging evidence that it has led to an overall improvement in prognosis. Projections suggest that the programme is on course to reduce colorectal cancer deaths by 16%.
Amongst others, follow-on research includes an options appraisal of screening in Ireland that has informed national policy and a re-appraisal of colorectal screening options following publication of a pivotal trial of flexible sigmoidoscopy (FSIG) screening for NHS Cancer Screening Programmes.
The results of two major randomised trials and a cohort study based at the University of Manchester (UoM) have had a major impact on cervical screening in the UK and influenced thinking internationally. These trials evaluated two technologies which had the potential to improve cervical screening. As a result HPV primary screening has moved to a large national pilot study. HPV as a test of cure following treatment of cervical precancerous lesions has now been adopted as standard across the National Screening Programme. Automation assisted technology, which was shown to be inferior to manually read cytology, will not be adopted.
Professor Peter Sasieni's team at Queen Mary showed that the efficacy of cervical screening was age-dependent. Their recommendations were adopted as policy in England in 2003 and led many other countries, including the USA, to raise the recommended age of first screening. This research was central to the 2009 re-evaluation of the most appropriate age for first screening in England, resulting in some 300,000 fewer screening tests per year in women aged 20-24, with a cost saving to the NHS of some £15 million annually. Annually, 45,000 fewer women now have an abnormal cervical screening test, of which an estimated 8,500 would have received unnecessary surgical treatment. The estimated annual saving to the NHS is £17.5 million.
The Institute of Sound and Vibration Research (ISVR) has played an influential role in transforming testing for child deafness in Europe, North America and elsewhere. In England, the NHS drew on its findings in deciding to replace traditional testing methods with universal newborn hearing screening programmes. This form of testing is more accurate, cost-effective and can be conducted at an earlier age. In England alone more than four million babies will be screened between 2008 and 2013, with around 6,000 identified as having hearing impairments. Earlier clinical intervention has benefited children's language development and overall quality of life.
Abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) affect more than 4% of British men aged 65-74 and are responsible for over 6,800 deaths annually. The MASS trial showed that screening could reduce AAA-related mortality by 42%, and the Health Economics Research Group (HERG) demonstrated, through the MASS trial, that AAA screening was cost-effective. HERG thus helped inform the policy announced by UK ministers in 2008 to introduce a national screening programme for all men reaching 65. By Spring 2013 it was fully introduced in England — offering screening to 300,000 men annually; the latest Annual Report (2011-12) claimed an uptake rate of 75%. In 2008 the DH estimated the health gain from a screening programme would be at least 130,000 QALYS over 20 years. Internationally, MASS is the most significant trial of AAA screening, and provides the most robust evidence-based model of its cost-effectiveness. It extensively influenced AAA screening guidelines, policies and services, including in the USA and Europe.
Research by Professor Judith Stephenson and colleagues at the UCL Institute of Women's Health into the effectiveness of chlamydia screening has led to guidance to health policy makers in the EU about national strategies for chlamydia control, and has influenced NICE guidelines on the subject. In particular, our work has informed debate on the value for money of the National Chlamydia Screening Programme (NCSP). Stephenson advised the National Audit Office on this topic, and a resulting report led to the NCSP focusing on chlamydia testing in sexual health services and primary care rather than screening in low risk groups. These changes are expected to make considerable cost savings to the NHS.