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Monetary policy and its effect on the wider economy are important for South Africa's objective of achieving both high economic growth and low inflation — which are deemed to contribute to the government's and electorate's greater objectives of reducing poverty and creating employment. The central bank (South African Reserve Bank, SARB) and the National Treasury have responsibility for both monetary policy and the oversight of the financial sector. Laurence Harris's research on the links between monetary policy, financial sector development, and their connection with the financing and investment decisions made by businesses has led both institutions to seek and act on his advice.
The Personal Finance Research Centre (PFRC) at the University of Bristol conducted research between 2004 and 2006 to develop the UK's first quantitative baseline survey of financial capability. The survey was a significant departure from previous methodologies in that it not only assessed knowledge, but also skills and behaviours. The survey results became the basis for the Financial Services Authority's (FSA) understanding of financial capability in the UK, and PFRC's analysis of the survey findings were used to set priorities for its National Strategy for Financial Capability, worth £90 million. One of the findings of the survey was that young people are much less financially capable than their elders. As a result, a priority within the National Strategy was to educate young people. A number of programs were put in place including Learning Money Matters, which offered free advice, support and resources to schools between 2006 and 2011. The program successfully reached over 2 million young people in 4,259 schools, and in 2011 economic wellbeing and financial capability became a statutory part of school curriculum in England. Overall, the FSA strategy was deemed successful, exceeding its target of reaching 10 million people. International bodies regard the FSA's baseline survey as a model for their own work and the UK methodology has been adopted by countries including Ireland, Canada and the Netherlands. The World Bank has led a substantial research and evaluation programme in low and middle income countries that uses the UK approach.
Research by the School's Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM) on the monetary transmission mechanism has been influential in improving the design, implementation and effectiveness of the monetary policies of a number of central banks, including the Bank of England, Banque de France and the European Central Bank. The research has influenced changes in the way that official monetary aggregates are measured so as to capture the impact of non-bank financial institutions on the money supply and credit availability, and in better understanding of how monetary policy affects different interest rates. This in turn has allowed for improved control by central banks of their policy targets, and for better understanding of the effects of their monetary policies on economic activity and inflation.
Loughborough University research into financial regulation has had a significant and enduring influence on how regulatory bodies are structured and how they use economic analysis. This work has been credited with shaping the groundbreaking culture and methodology of financial regulation in the UK with respect to consumer protection, recognising the special characteristics of retail financial products and contracts and applying cost-benefit and regulatory impact analysis in decision-making processes. It has also played a major role in redefining financial regulatory structure in the UK and South Africa. In addition, the research is now being used to help develop and guide approaches to ensuring high standards of bank regulation and consumer protection across the EU through the European Banking Authority's Banking Stakeholder Group.
Since the global financial crisis triggered by the collapse of the subprime mortgage market in the United States, a key issue for central banks has been the extent to which they should use monetary policy, along with macroprudential tools, to promote financial stability. University of Manchester (UoM) research has developed small theoretical models, and more detailed quantitative macroeconomic models, to help address this issue. This analytical work has helped to: firstly, influence the policies and operations of several major central banks (Brazil, Turkey and Morocco); and secondly, fuel the debate about global reform of bank regulation in international forums, such as the Financial Stability Board, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision and annual meetings of central banks from Latin America. Impact has been achieved through presentations to these forums, alongside discussions with senior policymakers from other countries.
The Personal Finance Research Centre (PFRC) at the University of Bristol conducted a major research programme that shaped UK financial inclusion policy and informed research and policy internationally. PFRC carried out seminal research to measure the level and nature of financial exclusion in the UK. Subsequent studies looked at ways of improving access to banking, credit, insurance and savings that could reduce the `poverty premium' paid by low-income households. PFRC's research directly informed UK central government policy which resulted in the successful achievement of a shared government-banking industry target to halve the number of adults in households without a bank account (from two million to 890,000) and funding to extend affordable credit union loans and savings products to an additional one million low-income people.
Since the financial crisis of 2007-8, many failing banks have had to be rescued. Rescue has taken different forms, including acquisition by rivals, public subsidies, and nationalisation.
Research at University of Leicester contributed to the changing of perceptions on the relative merits of these options, by showing that the cost of bank nationalisation had previously been over-estimated. This work paved the way for a wave of bank nationalisations that occurred during the financial crisis of 2007-8. Demetriades directly applied the findings of his research in the rescue of the crisis-hit Cypriot banking sector, following his appointment as Governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus and member of the European Central Bank governing council in 2012.
The funding of innovative SMEs is widely recognised to suffer from market failures and has been an area of policy concern since the 1930s. Sussex research has contributed significantly to understanding the underlying causes of these market failures, particularly for innovative firms in the UK and EU. It has placed stronger emphasis, than was the case in the past, on addressing demand -, rather than supply-side constraints (caused by the limited number of UK firms capable of generating commercial returns). This enables it to contribute towards the design and implementation of more effective equity support.
The global financial crisis of 2008 required policy makers to restructure radically banking systems through re-capitalization, essentially injecting capital to the banks. The Unit's research has shown that recapitalization policy has the potential to impose significant costs on the wider economy and on the banking system in particular. This research brings this trade-off to the attention of policy-makers at central banks who will now be better informed about the nature of the associated costs. . Our research outputs enabled some of these policy-makers to decide at which point on the trade-off they might wish to locate their policy choices.